US inflation accelerated in June to its fastest rate since the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in 2005 while workers’ earnings slumped, compounding the stagflationary dilemma facing the Federal Reserve, Reuters reported.
A separate report showed US homebuilder sentiment dropped to a record low in July, a reminder of the troubled housing market’s drag on the economy, while the minutes from the Fed’s latest policy meeting highlighted increasing worries over inflation amid an uncertain outlook for growth.
The consumer price index, the government’s key measure of inflation, advanced 1.1 per cent during the same month, the biggest monthly rise since September 2005, when devastation from Hurricane Katrina drove energy prices up sharply.
Compared with a year ago, prices were up 5 per cent, the biggest year-on-year rise since 1991. The worries over inflation, particularly after the Fed minutes, led investors to raise bets on future interest-rate rises by the central bank.
Coupled with data in the inflation report showing real weekly earnings fell 0.9 per cent in June, the figures heightened fears that the US economy could be entering a stagflationary period of low growth and high inflation.
“The report underscores the stagflationary environment we are in right now, which is not good for the dollar,” said Stephen Malyon, senior currency strategist at Scotia Capital in Toronto. “There is so much uncertainty in the market right now that news of higher inflation doesn’t mean a rise in interest rates.”
US industrial output unexpectedly rose in June, but analysts did not see this as the start of a long-lasting manufacturing recovery.